Tuesday, December 1, 2009

Auto-Play Setting


More in the vein of hands that play themselves: betting into the table from early position flopping an open-ended str8 flush draw. I bet near pot $8 into $10, guy on left shoves for $20 with 2nd set of 6s, guy on his left cold-calls. I couldn't make sense of his call; the short stack had enough to properly raise, and thus let me reraise (and with a 50%+ shot at my draws -15 outs - I shoved for $27 more), and then he folds to my shove. If he's cold calling a $20 raise, why fold for $27 more when there's so much in the pot?? I turn my str8 and take down a $65 pot. One thing to consider - he might have had either the open ended or flush draws, the latter of which takes out 2 of my outs).
One thing I was thinking about the other day, although it's true that I've got a 50% shot at hitting my outs (and 2 of those are pure nut outs), I could hit one of my other 13 outs but still lose if he fills up. So what are my true odds? Any 6, ten, or 4 will fill his boat, so there are 7 of those (one 6, 3 tens, and 3 4s), left in the deck. Plus there is the chance that running ranks will hit the board. Too much to think about right now.

Monday, November 16, 2009

Donkey King Kong (me)


I usually don't reraise preflop with 58off, but when I posted the cut-off and the only pf player was the min-raiser to my right, I read weakness (he held ace-ten off), and reraised to 10xbb. Unfortunately, the small blind min-reraised with pocket kings, and normally I'd snapfold, but when the original min-raiser called, I decided to take a flyer and call too. The 589 rainbow flop was beautiful; they check to me, I tiny bet $5, both call. The turned ace should've scared off the short stack kings, but he bets all in into the aces, aces flat calls, I shove for $30, aces calls and I collect a $110 highly-undeserved pot. I'll take it. My preflop read on ace-ten was on, but when a guy min-raises late, he's probably a calling station, so I would've had to bluff big flopping air. Hell, he still might have called. And it's that secondary read that paid off over time.

I took him out when I made a monster call (ok, it was him), 50-plus hands later when he bet all in $37+ into a $42 pot rivering aces vs my aces up, with 3 diamonds showing on the turn. I called (I really didn't think he had the flush or the str8), and finally popped him. Sweet victory. Nothing like waiting around on a table for one fish, then you finally reel him in (or he just jumps in your boat, like here).

Sunday, November 1, 2009

Lo-riding Donkeys


Here in 10c O8B I turn quad aces, and BigRocco flopped the 2nd nut lo, check-calls my pot bets ($1 on flop, $3 on turn), rivers the nut lo and bets pot, I shove just in case he's playing just a boat, he calls. He then proceeds to berate me for raising (when he had chased the nut lo on the turn). In low stakes Omaha hi-lo I see donkeys chasing the lo against pot bets all the time. The only upside to this play is being able to nut the lo and bluff the hi, but when he said "I knew you had quads", obviously he wasn't going for that.

Thursday, October 29, 2009

Riding the Donkeys


...at 25cO8B 9 max again (average pot size after a half-hour: $27, over 100x bb!!). I'd like to think I played well here, but this hand played itself from the flop. The short stack donkey Turddle bets the pot into the big stack maniac TripleNuts, into my medium stack holding nut FD, nut lo draw, and inside str8 draw, so do I: a) call, b) fold, or c) jam the pot with every last red cent? My only regret - I could only raise for $10, which was a little less than a third of my stack. Donkey shoves for $1 and change more, maniac calls. I turn the perfect card - 4d - which gives me the nut flush and wheel lo. The maniac check-calls my $10 bet - half my stack and a third of the pot, then check-folds a blank river for my last $11. What could he have called with on the turn that he would fold on the river??? Well, he is a maniac. Who cares. I take a $50+ pot (which for those new to math, is 200x bb).

That hand played itself. In this hand, donkey bets a small pot on the turn, and I call with a str8 flush draw - even with the board paired, he is a donkey after all. A surprise check-call from the small blind behind me tells me that I'm probably drawing dead. And the river - the miracle 8h to complete a jack-hi str8 flush. Obviously the donkey's money goes in, and I take Rover's stack also against his big boat queens full - I really thought he had quads what with the reraise game we had on that tragic river, which he should've considered me having. Oh well, I take a $110 pot.

The rule when deciding to enter a hand in hi-lo split games dictates that you hold cards that draw to both ends, not just one. I follow this rule more for limit games, but in pot- and no-limit I'll come in with only a hi hand as long as I'm in position and there has been at most one pre-flop pot raise. Here I limped with all paint on the button, and overcall an early pot bet with mucho outs to broadway versus his top- and bottom-pair. We both turn str8s - me with nuts (I even out-two-paired him there), and he with 2nd nuts, and guess what? All our money goes in. He misses a 2-outer to an underboat (submarine?), and my Broadway holds for a $115 pot.

SUMMARY: after just over an hour of play, I'm up 3.5 buyins. The juice just keeps flowing.

Sunday, October 25, 2009

New Donkey Corral: 25c O8B

Don't usually play Omaha hi/lo, but I add it into the mix for occasional variety. You need some real donkeys at the table to make any money; if everyone there is at least half-decent then there's really no edge at all. You'll end up heads up a lot and splitting the pot. But this table was filled with live ones, committing some classic mistakes of the game:
  • Calling pot-sized bets after the flop drawing to the lo only, with no reasonable hi or hi draw. This is one of the dumbest plays in poker.
  • Raising preflop with aces and kings, and then overplaying them after the flop (see chat below, when I slowplayed flopped trips against an obvious preflop big pair).
  • Overestimating fold equity. There are so many draws in O8B, when someone bets the pot on the flop, coming over the top bluffing air is -EV of almost infinite magnitude. I felted a guy in a $50 pot when he tried it.
  • Calling 3- and 4-bets preflop with cards that are good only for hi or lo hands. You're putting a lot of money in before you have any idea of how the hand will develop.

This was a nothing hand at 25c O8B, not sure why he was pissed...

http://www.pokerhand.org/?4819536

KODIAKZERO wins ($7.13 chips).
DISCOKG: fuy
KODIAKZERO: sry?
KODIAKZERO: did you mistype "NH sir"?
<<>>
AKADINKY wins ($3.82 chips).
DISCOKG: no fu
KODIAKZERO: ok, well thanks for your dead money

Saturday, October 24, 2009

Drawing to something you cannot bet


This is one of the dumbest moves in poker - drawing to something you cannot bet. In this hand of 50c PLO, Fatballs calls my bet on the turn with a baby FD and nut FD, even as the turn paired the board. So when he rivers his nut flush, he checks from early position and gets no action. Now one could argue that with double flush draws, he was in the money on the turn check-call anyways, but I see players making this play without any odds to call (real or implied), and checking their hands after they hit.

Sunday, August 30, 2009

Donkey Hit by the Deck


This guy is the biggest donkey to get hit by the deck in a long time. He went from under $40 to over $400 by doubling up donking out hand after hand. I rsd 3x late pf with AQ, he rersd to $21 from the blind with KQs, I shoved (because I knew I was good), and he calls, and hits his flush for a $260 pot. He hit hand after hand, and then the luck ran out. He reraised late with 69s, then called all in from aces in the blind for $35. He went down to about $280 when I raised utg with AQ (again), he reraised to over $20 with 47s, I shoved for $190, he calls and hits two pair.